It’s the perfect dream for any football fan, for your team to be leading their league by an unbeatable amount of points so you can spend the rest of the season relaxed. Unfortunately, though, this rarely happens but that doesn’t mean you can’t try to predict the winner, especially with this new graphic and football predictor from BWIN. Using data from over 10 seasons, the website has worked out how many league points a team had at every stage. From this it is possible to see whether your team has enough points – based on past averages – to top the league or even just avoid the dreaded relegation.
The charts cover the top five European visions and here are some of the highlights:
Premier League
After Leicester City’s shocking victory last year, the reigning champions are now clambering to avoid relegation at the bottom of the Premier League. There is hope for them though, as the team finishing bottom (17th) over the last 10 years have gained 24 points from 25 games – the team have won 24 in 26 games so they should be fine. Sunderland, Hull City, Middlesbrough and Hull City should all be worried.
As for the top of the league, the top 4 place finishers (and Champions League qualifiers) have all had 47 points in just 25 matches. Chelsea have a comfortable lead at the moment, however the three remaining spots are up for grabs with even Manchester United and Everton still in the running.
La Liga
Spain’s top league, La Liga, unlike England’s Premier League, is still very open at the top spot. Just a few points split the top three teams of Real Madrid, Sevilla and Barcelona. For a top 4 spot in the league and a ticket into the Champions League, teams would generally need an average of 39 points from 22 matches. However, this year’s top 4 have already exceeded this average meaning that they are liable to stay in this position.
At the relegation end of the table, Osasuna already look like a clear team to go down, as do Granada. Both have below the average of 15 points, which is the number of points needed to avoid relegation in the past 10 years. Valencia will also be in trouble without gaining essential points over the next few games.
Bundesliga
The German Bundesliga league is making for one of the most exciting races in Europe for the top 4 spots. From the past 10 years, a team would need an average of 32 points from 20 games in order to qualify for the Champions League – at the moment this means that even the 7th placed Koln, who have exceeded this, could be in with a shot.
The bottom of the league is far less exciting with both Ingolstadt and Darmstadt both looking a sure fire for relegation. Neither have the average 16 points from the last decade at this point needed to survive.
Serie A
Although the top spot is highly likely to take the top spot, there is still plenty of wiggle room left for the remaining qualifying spots. History says that the third spot in the league is likely to go to a team who have 45 points from 24 matches. As the teams in Serie A have been performing well this year, Inter and Atalanta still have a chance to take third, after beating this average.
Similar to other European leagues, the bottom of the league is pretty set in stone with Pescara and Crotone both being below the average needed for survival.
Ligue 1
The top 3 spots in Frances top league are pretty set – although it’s very open for Monaco, Paris and Nice to all compete for the top spot – the real battle is for the 4th Champions League qualifying spot. Lyon currently have the 4th spot, but their 46 points in 26 matches is below the average of a 4th place team. Bordeaux and ASSE are all still in with a chance.
Unlike other leagues in the list, Ligue 1’s bottom teams are all above the average for escaping the relegation spots so anything could happen over the remaining games.
